Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Rotherham
26.9%
Draw
53.6%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Rotherham
vs
1.58
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.6%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).