Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Basel
27.0%
Draw
24.1%
Lausanne Sport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Basel
vs
1.22
Lausanne Sport
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).