Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Birmingham
27.2%
Draw
37.3%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Birmingham
vs
1.43
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).