Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Hamilton
26.1%
Draw
48.8%
Falkirk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Hamilton
vs
1.63
Falkirk
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).