Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Verona
27.5%
Draw
27.5%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Verona
vs
0.96
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).