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04 Dec 2021 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.4%
Atromitos
24.4%
Draw
9.2%
Apollon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Atromitos

vs
0.48

Apollon

Markets

BTTS32.1%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.4%
2-0
16.3%
0-0
12.2%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-2
1.9%
4-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).