Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
21.8%
Draw
59.5%
Kaiserslautern
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.18
Kaiserslautern
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
0-1
6.8%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).