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AHT: 11CSV

09 Mar 2024 · 18:00

Annecy

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.9%
Ajaccio
27.6%
Draw
45.5%
Annecy

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Ajaccio

vs
1.20

Annecy

Markets

BTTS38.7%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.6%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).