Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.5%
Valenciennes
16.1%
Draw
74.4%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Valenciennes
vs
2.18
Lorient
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.7%
0-1
14.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
4.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
0-5
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).