Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Ath Madrid
23.0%
Draw
17.3%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Ath Madrid
vs
0.89
Betis
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
2-0
11.0%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).