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25 Nov 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.0%
Polissya Zhytomyr
23.8%
Draw
17.3%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

Polissya Zhytomyr

vs
0.84

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).