Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.7%
Brentford
15.6%
Draw
8.7%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Brentford
vs
0.93
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.551.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.4%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
5-0
3.5%
5-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).