Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.0%
Dortmund
13.5%
Draw
8.5%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
3.02
Dortmund
vs
0.97
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.556.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
6.2%
1-1
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
5-0
3.9%
5-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).