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07 Nov 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Gorica
28.5%
Draw
24.7%
Vukovar

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Gorica

vs
1.06

Vukovar

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).