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AHT: 12CSV

02 Jan 2023 · 14:00

Troyes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.5%
Strasbourg
13.6%
Draw
8.9%
Troyes

Expected Goals (xG)

2.63

Strasbourg

vs
0.77

Troyes

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.6%
3-0
10.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
6.7%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-0
3.0%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).