Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Sheffield Weds
21.9%
Draw
14.9%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Sheffield Weds
vs
0.64
Exeter
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).