Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Ayr
31.0%
Draw
25.3%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Ayr
vs
1.01
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).