Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.9%
Werder Bremen
23.6%
Draw
57.4%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Werder Bremen
vs
1.89
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
2-3
3.1%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).