Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Oviedo
29.6%
Draw
40.0%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Oviedo
vs
1.21
Espanol
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).