Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.4%
Monaco
11.5%
Draw
9.1%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
3.23
Monaco
vs
1.07
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.580.2%
Over 3.562.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
4-1
6.6%
4-0
6.2%
1-0
4.7%
1-1
4.4%
3-2
4.4%
5-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
5-0
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).