Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.1%
RB Leipzig
12.5%
Draw
5.4%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
RB Leipzig
vs
0.65
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-0
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
4.8%
0-0
3.4%
5-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).