Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Sporting Gijón
22.6%
Draw
43.0%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.76
Santander
Markets
BTTS65.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
1-0
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).