Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Newcastle
26.5%
Draw
29.3%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Newcastle
vs
1.37
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).