Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Swansea
26.5%
Draw
15.8%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Swansea
vs
0.74
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).