Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Tenerife
25.9%
Draw
45.5%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Tenerife
vs
1.46
Castellon
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).