Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Edinburgh City
26.4%
Draw
37.9%
Elgin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Edinburgh City
vs
1.70
Elgin
Markets
BTTS67.7%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
0-0
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
0-1
4.2%
1-0
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).