Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.3%
Brighton
17.6%
Draw
7.1%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Brighton
vs
0.64
Leicester
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
3-0
11.0%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).