Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.7%
Oxford City
19.0%
Draw
72.3%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Oxford City
vs
2.19
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.2%
0-1
12.3%
0-3
10.3%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
9.0%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
2-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).