Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Crotone
28.0%
Draw
49.0%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Crotone
vs
1.55
Lecce
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).