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10 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.1%
Fylde
25.7%
Draw
23.2%
Ebbsfleet

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Fylde

vs
1.09

Ebbsfleet

Markets

BTTS55.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).