Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Valladolid
24.2%
Draw
59.8%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Valladolid
vs
1.69
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).