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HHT: 21CSV

11 Jan 2026 · 15:15

Ceuta

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.8%
Malaga
21.9%
Draw
21.3%
Ceuta

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Malaga

vs
1.08

Ceuta

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).