Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Malaga
21.9%
Draw
21.3%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Malaga
vs
1.08
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).