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DHT: 00CSV

17 Dec 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Alloa
33.4%
Draw
28.4%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Alloa

vs
0.86

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.8%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).