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AHT: 11CSV

03 Apr 2018

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.2%
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27.7%
Draw
19.1%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

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vs
0.83

Fylde

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).