Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Girona
22.5%
Draw
59.9%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Girona
vs
1.92
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).