Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Wrexham
23.9%
Draw
15.7%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Wrexham
vs
0.85
Southend
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).