Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir
16.1%
Draw
10.3%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.11
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
1.22
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS68.6%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.594.2%
Over 2.580.6%
Over 3.562.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
6.3%
4-0
5.1%
3-2
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
5-1
3.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).