Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Modena
32.0%
Draw
15.1%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Modena
vs
0.55
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS31.5%
Over 0.582.6%
Over 1.555.2%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.5%
0-0
17.4%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).