Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Northampton
24.0%
Draw
43.2%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Northampton
vs
1.42
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).