Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Elche
29.8%
Draw
25.5%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Elche
vs
0.82
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).