Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
West Brom
30.6%
Draw
37.2%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
West Brom
vs
1.18
Swansea
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).