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19 Apr 2025 · 14:30

Bochum

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.6%
Werder Bremen
25.8%
Draw
22.6%
Bochum

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Werder Bremen

vs
1.05

Bochum

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).