Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Bologna
25.4%
Draw
16.7%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Bologna
vs
0.68
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).