Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
Celta
21.0%
Draw
15.7%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Celta
vs
0.91
Espanol
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
1-0
10.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).