Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.6%
Marseille
9.2%
Draw
7.2%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
3.78
Marseille
vs
1.16
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS67.0%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.595.6%
Over 2.587.0%
Over 3.572.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.5%
4-1
7.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
5-1
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
5-0
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-2
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
5-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).