Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Crawley Town
21.5%
Draw
30.1%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Crawley Town
vs
1.34
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).