Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Vitória Guimarães
24.3%
Draw
27.3%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Vitória Guimarães
vs
1.31
Arouca
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).