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AHT: 01

17 Sept 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.1%
Wingate & Finchley
15.4%
Draw
68.5%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Wingate & Finchley

vs
2.90

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS71.0%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.580.3%
Over 3.562.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.0%
1-3
7.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
2-3
5.4%
1-1
5.3%
0-1
4.1%
0-4
4.0%
2-4
3.9%
2-1
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).