Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Mirandes
31.5%
Draw
38.9%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Mirandes
vs
1.03
Burgos
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.556.1%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).