Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Alcorcon
31.3%
Draw
33.9%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Alcorcon
vs
0.95
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.5%
1-0
14.3%
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).